孔子动画片视频第104集:专家：世界需4个警察 中国本就在警察名单上

专家：世界需4个警察 中国本就在警察名单上

世界需4个警察 中国本就在警察名单上

[美指点中国承担大国责任] [野田称中国应做负责任国家] [大国责任不与不干涉内政相悖] [中国在中东应有更大作为]

金正日死后：卫星拍到中国军队大调动！

[北京让朝鲜请解放军入朝？] [韩国不敢攻击朝鲜] [朝鲜出大事：金正恩撤军官] [中美对朝发声明：韩被打醒]

    2011年12月16日，新华网“纵论天下”系列研讨会第二场《2011国际战略格局新变化和未来趋势》在京举行。图为中国社科院西亚非洲所研究员、中国中东学会副秘书长殷罡在发表演讲。新华网 陈杰 摄

    编者按：当今世界处于大变革、大发展、大调整时期，国际局势不确定性、模糊性和突发性的特点愈加鲜明。在即将过去的2011年，西亚北非地区持续动荡，迫使人们重新审视国家治理的理念；世界经济面临二次探底风险，金融危机开始向政治和社会危机转移；中国周边环境出现新变化，形势日益严峻。

To further understand and judge the international situation is changing, following last the holding of the first "superior world" international situation after the seminar, on December 16 xinhua net once again invite specialists and scholars gather for the 2011 international news soufangwang strategic pattern appears the new changes, and looking to the future development trends.Xinhua net hoped to host "superior world" series seminars, transfer you profound insights of the experts, help to eliminate many Internet users international hot issues "how to see" confused.

This paper isChinaAsia academy of the middle East Africa, China to YanGang deputy secretary-general in speech titled the observation, the Middle East upheavals on ethnic and sectarian compete for "the main content of the speech.

In 2011 about the Middle East is more and more complicated, and I will speak some media hype is not particularly this year and need to focus on things.Let's speak of from terrorism.

First,EgyptElection,TunisiaGeneral election must be islamic political parties on a stage.The whole area of the early islamic, 1300 years is the one thing, chosen to also only will is this thing, the islamist parties with culture, environment, on traditional etc, it is very natural thing.The cold war political control of the region strongmen why?The cold war two big superpower u.s.-soviet ii, will need to suppress and use the power of religion, so we can't see what during the cold war, the moderate Islam on what will be the tendencies?"The September 11" terrorist from where?If say the red army in the Soviet union incite words you might be surprised, 1980 years ago to have in the world terrorism?Generally don't.But in the Soviet invasionAfghanistanLater, the Middle East of these Muslim, aggressive, strong responsibility a little all run to Afghanistan to play the red army in the Soviet union, because "communist accounted for Muslim land".At that timeThe United StatesThe cia?Afraid to these Muslim the lad did not know "jihad" and "jihad" is printed the brochure, hit the red army in the Soviet union in the process of training, or radical islamic terrorism.The red army in the Soviet union and a withdrawing the, the force is once training up and must be looking for the goal finally happened "September 11".The United States instigated by the islamic jihad finally showed the twin towers in New York into the fall.

This is at a point,The United StatesBegan to terror.The reverse to it and to think that democracy is the fundamental of the war on terror, and that the whole world is a democracy, no terrorism.This also satisfies the basic benefits, although and short-term interests might happen some conflict, impact into some trouble after, perhaps this is the score a lucky hit, perhaps is the policy of the United States have superior think-tank.Through democracy in the Middle East, islamic parties go on stage, after taking the islamist parties must have what trends?Must make the islamic forces curb terrorism.

We all know thatLibyaTripoli is "base" organization to take down, the security situation in tripoli, there has been a big problem for people to protest let foreign troops withdraw is let Libya islamic instrumental retreats and islamic instrumental is al qaeda Libya branch.These people now have noticed can't killing the innocent,Iraq"Base" organization in the Iraq war later adjusted the policy, even this feature, ABU musab al-zarqawi, hate, and said what do you disorderly kill, designed Fried mosque?To let's throw a person.And by "base" ABU musab al-zarqawi diehard within organizations, letThe United StatesGet rid of uavs.

Islamic party came to power after this trend, it will bear a portion of the blame, it is to maintain the peace of a party, that it must be his claim to the gentle promote islamic consciousness, went out to power will comply with international rules, to have in certain rail and scope, be sure to suppress the forces of more extreme.Hamas in gaza hate the most not fatah, but "base" organization and these "Sara murphy" sent (this note: "Sarah Philippines" in Arabic means in insisted on "traditional ancestors". The tissue is "base" organization, established to keep thoughts influence orthodox religion, to the countryIsraelAnd the western position), is also horizontal than hamas the gang.To send rockets are often not Israel, hamas, signed the agreement because, hair is to look for the rockets play, and the more extreme, is finding dozen, chaos, hamas is grasp at the gang.This means that the islamic regime will share in the future is part of the anti-terrorism task, against islamist task, that is within Islam digest some terrorism factors.This is actually in the folk is equal to the islamic forces helped onstage and let them and western Shared responsibility on terror, I don't think this is a western thoughtful, but I think this is an inevitable trend, so for terrorism spread you need not too worried.

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