诵盈律师事务所介绍:Will Obama Doctrine lead to new Cold War?

来源:百度文库 编辑:偶看新闻 时间:2024/04/28 04:19:29
By Wu Jianmin (People's Daily Overseas Edition)
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Edited and translated by People's Daily Online
U.S. President Barack Obama, the first U.S. leader to attend the East Asia Summit, recently announced a plan to send 2,500 U.S. troops to Australia. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton proclaimed the 21st century "America's Pacific Century." The United States has taken a series of high-profile actions to "return" to Asia, which has attracted worldwide attention.
On Nov. 25, the Wall Street Journal published an article titled "The Obama Doctrine" by Hugh White, a distinguished scholar and former deputy defense minister of Australia. White believes that Obama's Asian adventure marks the beginning of the Obama Doctrine and said that the Obama Doctrine "mirrors the geostrategic and political essence of the Truman Doctrine."
The Truman Doctrine was created to contain the Soviet Union and led to the Cold War. The Obama Doctrine is aimed at containing China, and White believes the doctrine is a "very serious mistake" as it commits the United States to a strategic confrontation that will cost it dearly.
To answer the question of whether Obama's foreign policy will lead to a new Cold War, first we must grasp the general trend in today's world. The international situation is complicated and constantly changing, with various dazzling new trends. The key to grasping the general trend is to realize that the themes of the times are peace and development, not wars or violent revolutions. Peace, development, and cooperation have become an unstoppable general trend, despite the existence of confrontation and conflict.
Second, the U.S.-Soviet Cold War was caused by two great powers vying for world hegemony. China seeks no world hegemony and even has a national policy in place expressing its clear opposition to the practice. Furthermore, when given a choice between peace, development and cooperation on one hand, and Cold War, confrontation and conflict on the other, China firmly supports the former and opposes the latter. China will never have a new Cold War with the United States.
In addition, today's China-U.S. relations are fundamentally different from U.S.-Soviet relations. The former U.S.-Soviet relations were dominated by hegemony, and today's China-U.S. relations are dominated by cooperation. There was no economic interdependence in the former U.S.-Soviet relationship.
U.S.-Soviet trade only amounted 4 billion U.S. dollars at the best times, while today's China-U.S. trade is about 400 billion dollars. The Soviet Union did not hold U.S. Treasury bonds, and China is the largest holders of U.S. Treasury bonds at present. The former U.S.-Soviet relationship was constantly undercutting each other but in the past 30 years of China's rise, China shared the result of economic growth with the world, including the United States, to achieve a win-win situation. China does not do this for expediency. This is part of China's peaceful development strategy.
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