臭豆腐生产工艺:打击伊朗，美国政府的艰难抉择

打击伊朗，美国政府的艰难抉择

[3247]　(2011-12-19)

Facing the Iran nuclear capabilities, the United States government what to do?This is President Obama came on one of the most difficult choices.Since the 1979 islamic revolution broke out after Iran, Iran will be an enemy of the United States.With the passage of time, the world has profound changes, and eliminate the end of the cold war among the great powers against heat, global integration deepened countries and the cooperation between the group of countries, limited local war and not beyond the control of the country, terrorism as the world most of the countries of the target of attack.In this case, there are no real threats of American super opponents, the past third-rate gradually upgraded to the role of Iran's enemies.

Is this the third-rate role to the United States had brought endless trouble.Iran's islamic revolution victory, Iraq relationships broken, and then happen Iranian students occupied U.S. embassy to detain American hostage event, the President of the United States in extreme carter secret rescue hostages "blu-ray" action, because the helicopter of mechanical failure, "blu-ray" action failure and exposure, re-elected President overshadowed by carter had to accept responsibility and abandoned its run for re-election, and to the American political situation brings the enormous shock.Is also to solve is the Lebanese hostage event, the Reagan administration in 1985 to deal with Iran's secret to sell arms for Iran's influence the release of the hostages in Lebanon, and selling weapons of money used to aid Nicaragua rebels, the deal is a violation of the law of the United States and congress ban.In Iran's requirements are not completely satisfied circumstances, the speaker rafsanjani disclosure the secret deal, shocked the American ChaoYe, President Reagan the luck to get out of trouble, but a group of senior officials affected and several people in prison, this is the so-called "Iran's door" events.

Iran to the U.S. bring trouble is far more than these.Because of the death of have Iranian spiritual leader in the Muslim world khomeini the influence of Iran in the Muslim world has a special position.In the khomeini's eyes, the United States is "crime western", is "the devil satan", and the western world is pure natural enemies of the Muslim world, must be thoroughly clean the western powers of the Muslim world influence.Khomeini the spread of socialism has trained large quantities of hatred of the United States in the western world especially crowd, this group of people will appear constantly will hatred into retaliation "terrorists", this also is the United States government and most headaches to nothing place.Iran has good at using the Arab world and Israel's bad blood to cause trouble, in addition to provide direct support from the hizbullah in Lebanon, Iran's leaders often by radical speech attacked Israel and its background boss the United States, inciting people to the Arab against anti-american sentiment in the United States push hard for the Middle East peace process manufacturing obstacles, serious damage to the global U.S. strategic interests.

As an enemy of the United States, in the fight against Iran in the horrific price paid.Due to the western world, led by the United States, long-term sanctions, Iran's national development and public life decades don't have much improved, even if Iran pay most attention to the army, pahlavi dynasty imported equipment was still in use American.Is Iran's national character, can't fight against the United States and its military ally of the military strikes, to safeguard the state security, Iran for years to put large resources development nuclear capabilities, although Iran has been statement of the peaceful use of nuclear energy, but the ultimate goal is to manufacture nuclear weapons who are fairly well.If Iran successfully developed the nuclear weapons, the number one enemy of the United States will have the ultimate charms, with the United States against more unbridled, Iran's leaders say will fan of American ally Israel from the map with the threat of may become a reality, and the world also added a huge hidden trouble.

Stop Iran to have a nuclear weapon is the United States and its Allies will be the goal, the United States government claims that "using all means" of course includes a military strike.From a series of recent things look, the United States and its Allies to launch a military strike against Iran suddenly raise the possibility of.

November 8, 2011, the international atomic energy agency to report, says "reliable sign that, at least in 2010 years ago, Iran to have a nuclear device development plan and try".The report though not specify whether Iran now trying to have nuclear weapons, but also very clear that Iran had tried to have nuclear weapons.Despite the relevant parties explanation is differ, the United States and its Allies in crisis is imminent.

Nov. 29, 2011, Iran GuJi repeat, take the student as the main body of people and occupy the British embassy impact a shocked the world diplomatic events.Iran and the entire western world contradiction intensified.

December 4, 2011, Iran's shot down and captured a a basic intact U.S. RQ-170 recon drone.This frame nickname "kandahar beast" of the uav's by lockheed Martin company manufacturing, contains extremely advanced technology secret, it falls into the Iranian military basic intact, to the United States is a disaster, the U.S. military or even sent special forces rob to return to or blown up the plane.

If the international atomic energy agency report is the United States military strike against Iran's outburst, two events have after lit fuse, to the United States and Iran, the last moment has arrived.

If the U.S. and its Allies to military strike against Iran's implementation, will face the following questions:

A strike by what name?The purpose of a military strike, of course, is completely destroy Iran's nuclear capabilities, completely prevent Iran to have a nuclear weapon.Of course the United States in the United Nations under the authorization to a military strike, but China and Russia to persuade two a permanent member of the possibility is very small, the military strike is likely to NATO or the name of the United States, and the United Nations than authorized, its legitimacy to sell at a discount greatly, the international community and the United States ChaoYe will have different voice came.

Second, Obama political life of gambling.Military strike against Iran will greatly influence the next meeting of the American election.Obama came on, committed to the friendly to the Muslim world, a military strike against Iran will be many American Muslim voters to the opposite, the popularity of the decline of the Obama is not good.If the result of the military strike is bad or not expected good, Obama re-election become bubble, its political life is over.And historically, Iran to carter and Reagan two President still remember the lesson, Obama has the guts to conduct a gambling?

Three, attack range have how old?In addition to Iran's nuclear facilities, hit should also include Iran's related military facilities, should keep clear of Iran's air defense force, the number of target of hundreds of thousands of, by the United States and its Allies in the gulf region of the existing military is far from enough, the United States and its Allies must have a rally military process.At that time, if Russia especially Russia involved in even if it is very limited intervention, will be a military strike to bring variables.

Four, influence the world economy.Iran is the world's energy superpower, its oil and gas reserves, the highest in the world, the second in the world's oil exports.Military strikes will interrupt Iran's oil exports, even if the other Opec members to increase production, oil prices to ourselves, to the economic crisis is in the world's economies to bring further disaster.In addition, Iran has the ability to block the Persian gulf oil passage, and can completely clear Iran blockade risk ability.

Five, Israel?For geopolitical relations, that Israel is the pioneer to destroy Iran's nuclear capabilities, unless the restriction of the United States, Israel might perhaps have separate to take action.In fact, the United States and its Allies to launch a military strike against Iran, Israel is likely to be ruled out.Because of Israel to stir up the Arab and Muslim world QiuXi, will further complicated problem.Israel can share in the secret intelligence support, but the United States must persuade Israel can't make a move.Iran of well aware that this the delicate relationship, not exclude the United States military strikes began, Iran's active to attack Israel, even the use of chemical weapons and biological weapons until a dirty bomb attack, then Israel has to keep hair?

Six, revenge of unintended consequences.Even if the United States military strike on Iran's success, completely destroy Iran's nuclear capabilities, the Muslim world of hatred for the United States will greatly deepened.Military attack by the Iranian government might use all resources for revenge, the United States, Europe is likely to lead to high frequency, large-scale terrorist attack, such as the 911 and beyond 911 events may appear, the western world can prevent and take the terrorist attack?

The above problem, Obama squad will of course study repeatedly and find countermeasures, but want to completely avoid risk is not possible.Let the military strike burning fuse or pulled out the match that to Obama that has been the head of white hair of thinking and decision-making have run out of time.

SunQiFang chaohu lake in anhui The joint morning post nets"