吃螃蟹的能喝啤酒吗:新一轮民主化浪潮下的中美博弈

新一轮民主化浪潮下的中美博弈

[3248]　(2011-12-23)

2011 years has almost come to an end, will soon be a thing of the past.A brief review of the years in the situation of the world and change, there are too many let us remember the major events, from February Tunisia "jasmine revolution", to the Egyptian President hosni mubarak to step down, and then to Mr Qaddafi's body, Libya dictator died out countries, until now Mr Assad Syrian regime is tottering.In the Middle East of a new global democracy tide both parties of positive and negative aspects of the domestic power away, and involved the two powers in the world, beauty of secretly game based on the interests of the state, both of the game, and contains the struggles of ideology.

There are no eternal friends, and there are no eternal enemies, only the interests of forever.When the interests of the state all sovereign state the pursuit of the first target.Traditionally see, Egypt has been and China keep hosni mubarak regime very good relations, the party of the communist party of China, the People's Daily have hosni mubarak as "an old friend of the Chinese people", the more important is China's oil imports from the Middle East, most of the Suez Canal by Egypt, can say also takes the Egypt of China's oil imports the throat.Therefore, in the friendly relationship has stable for the Chinese is more important.But now, Egypt "hotshot President hosni mubarak of Egypt has been the people's push to step down, Egypt ushered in the political democratization in the twilight, and this is precisely the warmly welcome.The United States has been in global marketing its "values diplomacy", promote global political democratization process.Once the election after Egypt democratic regime fall to America, China's interest will undoubtedly damaged, in China can't stop Egypt with the trend of the democratic historical conditions, try to keep and Egypt of the new regime contact and cooperation, don't let it completely backward western is China's diplomacy with the a project.And the same is "Chinese people's old friend" before the Libyan leader moamer kadhafi speaks also has set up a file in a democracy fell under this round, was eventually opposition a soldiers killed.Libya as China in the Middle East important oil importer, to guarantee the safety of China energy tremendous implications.In addition, China in Libya and billions of infrastructure construction investment, to ensure that our investment safety is the direction of China's diplomacy.Libya at the beginning of the civil war, the Chinese government is expected to Libya situation is not enough, thought Mr Qaddafi regime can quell domestic rebellion soon, results in a few months of Libya opposition within the time on the liberation throughout the country, and the Chinese government in the situation has become quite clear to recognize when Libya national transition commission, appear in a hurry.From the current rate, Libya the new government pro-western trend has inevitably, fight for Libya to ensure that China's new regime benefits to minimize damage, prevent American forces in Libya excessive penetration is the Chinese diplomatic face the new problems.

In the Chinese communist party in power, under the condition of ideology for relations between China and the United States is still a is not open around the stumbling blocks.China and the United States as the world's largest socialist country and capitalist countries, the two countries social basic system of great differences led to the field of ideology great differences.1949 years after the founding, since the communists in mainland China established a and capitalist regime of representing the communist regime, in the beautiful Sue the poles pattern, China went over to the Soviet union to led the socialist bloc, China and the United States by Chiang kai-shek era alliance to fight.Later, because of the sino-soviet split between China and America, once improved, which includes President Nixon's visit in 1979 and the formal diplomatic relations between China and the United States.This period, although relations between China and the United States based on the interests of the state and be able to choose to improve, but the two countries in the common threat-before the Soviet union still not formed alliances.When after the collapse of the Soviet union, "China brand" hands in the United States there is not a value, the United States began in democracy, human rights, and free in the Chinese criticism has increased, the struggle for ideology more prominent.At the same time, as China's national strength has been strengthened, the United States began to China as a principal threats, President George w. bush was elected after also once in China as a "strategic competitor".And, behold, "9? 11 events" occurs, the main focus of the U.S. began to transfer to the Middle East and the war on terrorism, gave China a lot of pressure to reduce.And when this year after osama bin laden was killed, the United States began to "return to Asia", China faces us pressure has increased.Early in the new round of a democracy tide, China's attitude hesitant, already want to maintain the current situation in the Middle East, but he couldn't stop a democracy, while the United States in the Middle East the performance of the democratization is very positive, and in the promote the democratization process, and to sell its "values diplomacy".And at the same time, the American secretary of state Hillary Clinton also within the year in many high-profile criticize China's human rights, more make the ideological struggle added a fire.

Since China is a socialist country, and national strength is going up, the United States of China development concerns continue to increase, the ideology and the interests of the state game will also become more intense than before it.In the long run, China and the United States will in a competition more than cooperation but not broken relationships.Relations between China and the United States will be in a large extent depends on China "universal value" of the acceptance of their own political and reform.

LiuChunCheng, nanchang university